Sunday, March 16, 2014

Where's Waldo [Malaysian Flight #370]! UPDATE

Kindergartner's Drawing of "Flight Path"     
[Oh wait! That's CNN's analysis!]


UPDATE:  


1) The pilot, Captain Shah, a social activist,
     a) was a fanatical supporter of Malaysia's opposition leader, Anwar Ibrahim, 
         who was jailed for "homosexuality" just hours before Flight MH 370 disappeared.
     b) is believed to have attended a pro-Ibrahim rally at the courthouse hours before the flight.  
     c) moved his family from their home the day before the plane went missing
    ---- Are the passengers being held to exchange for Ibrahim?  -- A logical explanation.

2) The FBI has finally admitted the plane could have been hijacked.

3) All tracking information routes the flight path northwest across the Andaman Islands 
    with possible remote destinations in Pakistan or Afghanistan [see below].

4) Debris spotted has been in areas thousands of miles away from the most likely
     course of MH 370; the amount of debris spotted was enough to have built multiple
     passenger jets, or even another Space Station.  
     Yet, in all that debris, not one passenger seat spotted -- they are designed 
     to float following a crash in the sea.

5)  A satellite picked up a ping from the aircraft more than seven hours after it went missing.

6)  There are thousands of potential landing sites within the 7-hour fuel range of the aircraft

7)  CONCLUSION:  THIS HAS BEEN A GOVERNMENT COVER-UP FROM 
     THE MOMENT THE PLANE DISAPPEARED.

--------------------------------------------
Click here for related article [WashPost] 

Speculation continues on the fate and current location of the missing Malaysian Flight MH370.  The Pentagon provided CNN the idiotic graphic above, which may have been produced by a kindergarten class. 
"Breaking news! Classified material indicates the plane may have turned North, or South, and it may have crashed into the ocean -- but was monitored to be flying for several hours after it crashed!"

You would think the folks at CNN would have been embarrassed to have put this nonsense on the air.

The Post reports that the Malaysian Prime Minister advised that satellites were monitoring the plane's mechanical signals for a full seven and a half hours after take-off -- which would put the fuel gauges near empty -- and would have placed it about 4,000 miles from the West coast of Malaysia at it's radar recorded location in the Strait of Malacca.

The path noted would have taken it in the direction of India, across the Andaman Islands.

That would put the plane as far West
as Iran or Afghanistan.

Of course, in that flight path, it would have crossed several international borders and, theoretically, would have been picked up on air defense radars [and commercial tracking systems].

According to the New York Times and Reuters, it was monitored by Inmarsat, apparently throughout the period during which it was missing; they have alluded to having its last airborne location, though they've not revealed it. Inmarsat has some interesting capabilities.  Transponders keep airliners on the radar throughout its flight - even if the switch is off - so technically, the airliner is never 
"off the radar"


That would narrow the selection of hijackers to be from India [not probable], to Pakistan [not probable] to Afghanistan [possible] to Iran [not probable], to a false flag operation to make it appear that Iran had hijacked the plane.


What we find interesting is that, with all the technological prowess of US and foreign intelligence services, not one has offered up any information on this missing aircraft, even though it would be easily monitored by the full range of satellites -- ours, our allies, China, and Russia.

NASA brags it can monitor a meteor the size of a grapefruit from a million miles out; and, it seems only logical that our intelligence satellites, which monitor all forms of communications and electronic signals world wide, and which provide extremely high resolution imagery on all potential trouble spots, could pick up any and all signals emanating from this aircraft.

Of course, we are told that if these agencies revealed they were capable of such monitoring, the bad guys would be able to set up defensive measures to stay hidden. That would assume that the bad guys have never watched Jack Bauer in "24", and none of them is smart enough to read the newspaper or articles on the internet.  [Osama bin Laden, for example, was so ignorant that he only had degrees in civil engineering and public administration.]

Erstwhile investigators might go to Google-Earth or Landsat which use satellite imagery not terribly less capable than our intelligence satellites. Google Earth (using the technology of the KH-11 satellite system) has its resolution at 2.5', which would be  enough to capture the configuration of an airliner, or even a motorcycle, in the desert or in the jungle.

Remote Paved Road  =  Landing Strip

Our guess, exploring the topography of the region in which the plane was capable of traveling, would include western India or eastern Afghanistan.

No airports needed since a landing strip need consist of nothing more than a lengthy, flat surface, e.g., a road in a deserted area.


We discounted western India since there aren't enough deserted areas, but, Afghanistan is chock full of them.






One area that meets these conditions lies in southern Afghanistan; there are others, to include eastern Iran,

but we reckon the Iranian government would be keeping its radical elements in check these days to ensure it would not come under attack.









So, here's the summary of facts as presented in our three previous blogs:

1) 08 March: Malaysian Flight 370 "disappears" off the southwest coast of Vietnam
    Our assessment: 

    a)  Possible crash
    b)  Possible shoot-down

2) 09 March: Pilot aboard another flight reports "mumbling" from copilot of Flight 370
    Our assessment: Possible Hijack

    a) Possible BZ gas release on board, neutralizing crew and passengers
    b) Absence of Black Box transmissions indicate it was still airborne

 3) 10 March: Report that Flight 370 had changed altitude/course, but silent; still on radar
     Our assessment: Probable Hijack

     a) Massive search of suspected crash site
     b) No debris
     c) No Black Box signals

 4) 10 March: Reports that passenger cell phones still working - receiving calls, but no answer.
      Our assessment: Probable Hijack

      a) Plane is still airborne
      b) No visible debris
      c) No Black Box signals
      d) Functional cell phones
      e) Peter Bergen of CNN attempt at "Damage Control" to degrade those speculating on hijacking
          [Is CNN a government shill? Does anyone actually watch CNN these days?]

5) 11 March: India announces it is searching in its territory
    Our assessment: Hijack!

    a) Report that co-pilot had invited female passengers into flight cabin on earlier flight
    b) Transponder and all communications links cut;

Arc of Flight
6) Malaysian Military reports details of altered flight
    Our assessment: Government cover-up of hijack

      a) Vague references to "arc of flight"
      b) Contradictory statements by civil and military chiefs

      c) Flight path included climbing to 45,000 feet, then
          down to 23,000 feet, and then climbing back to possibly
          34,000 feet -- which sounds like the pilot reacting to
          BZ gas, becoming erratic before passing out, after which
          the hijacker[s] were able to seize the controls.
      d) Malaysia's head of civil aviation:
          "There are things I can tell you, and things I can't."

7)  Malaysian officials provide graph showing possible range of flight
     Our assessment/predictions:

     a)  Government seeks to show futility of search
     b)  Debris will magically appear in remote area and the search will end
     c)  Government will announce the Black Box is "irretrievable"!

8)  Reuters, perhaps in collaboration with British Intelligence, reports possible landing sites
     a)  The flight path was piloted according to navigational way-points leading to the region of the
          Andaman Islands.
     b)  Landing the aircraft in Port Blair would likely not go unnoticed; so, the plane would have to
          have continued on to a destination beyond the Andaman Islands.

9)  The reality?
     a)  False flag hijacking, with blame laid with Iran, to justify an attack on it for a heinous act.
     b)  Diversion from the Russian annexation of Crimea.
     c)  Political hijacking to exchange passengers for a political prisoner

Tuesday, March 11, 2014

Malaysian plane Hijacked!

The "slight turn" was actually a U-Turn, heading West!


Click here for related story [ Reuters ]

New information released by the Malaysian military indicates the early reports on the disappearance of Flight MH370 were erroneous or false -- take your pick.

Initially, we were told it had disappeared two hours into its flight path to the southwest of Vietnam's south coast, bound for Beijing.

The Malaysian military now advises their radar tracked the plane, which, after only an hour, dropped from 35,000 feet to 34,000 feet in altitude, turned West, shut down its transponder and tracking systems, and headed into the Strait of Malacca -- quite a distance from Vietnam as was being reported earlier, and which has been the site of a massive multi-nation search operation. 

Versions of the flight path differ depending on which arm of the government is speaking
-- and, it appears the Malaysian government is withholding information. 

Malaysia's head of civil aviation, when asked why the Strait of Malacca is being searched advised:
"There are things I can tell you, and things I can't."



Meanwhile, Air Force Chief of Staff General Rodzali Daud noted there was an unidentified object on the radar at 2:15 am, roughly 200 miles northwest of Penang.

We have no actual or estimated location of the plane now, but presume it is intact and may have landed at a remote airfield. With 7.5 hours of fuel left, destinations would be numerous, ranging from Thailand, Burma, Indonesia, India, or virtually anywhere within a 5,000 mile range. 

Turning off the transponder and tracking systems made it invisible to commercial monitoring, but it still remained visible to military radar - and the military chose not to disclose their information.  The only substantive clue we had in early reports was the distress call from the co-pilot on an emergency channel, which a pilot in another plane describes as "mumbling". 

We speculated then that perhaps the crew and passengers had been overcome with BZ gas [or similar], allowing hijackers to seize control.

Co-pilot invites passengers in to cockpit
Adding to the mystery of the story line now is that First Officer Fariq ab Hamid had invited a woman and her female friend to sit in the cockpit during one leg of a flight three years ago; this allegation was supported by pictures of the four provided to Australia's Channel 9. 

If true, such conduct would literally open the door to hijackers to take control of the plane with a seductress -- and that could explain the co-pilot's mumbled transmission.


Tracking the true location of this aircraft theoretically should be a simple task given the sophistication of satellite imagery, and China has stepped up to the plate and advised it is employing ten satellites using high resolution imaging capabilities.  [we weren't aware they had 10 satellites]. 


!
We have yet to hear from JimmyBob Clapper, Director of US National Intelligence, to advise if the US has any assets capable of tracking this wayward plane.

We can track a small rock in space, but not an airliner!

We would think so, since NASA can track a meteor the size of a large grapefruit at a million miles, and NSA can monitor your whispers on your cell phones; so we'd hope they can track the cellphones of the passengers and crew on Flight MH370.

Oh wait, they only track US citizens these days since they have been designated "The Enemy"!

What were we thinking!


Monday, March 10, 2014

Missing Plane Damage Control - Updated

[NewsInfo.Inquirer.net]



Click here for related story [CNN-Peter Bergen]

CNN is weighing in on the disappearance of Malaysia Flight 370 now to discourage speculation on the cause of the disappearance. 

Hijacking has now arisen as a possibility; 

Also speculated, and possibly connected to the hijacking theory, is the use of BZ gas, which would incapacitate the crew and passengers -- allowing hijackers to seize control of the plane, and which might account for the reported course deviation, as well as the co-pilot's mumbled call on an emergency frequency. 
1) The question then arises as to where a hijacked airliner might land
2) As of 11 March, there are reports that the cell phones of passengers and crew are still ringing -- improbable if the passengers' phones were at the bottom of the ocean.

Alternately, the release of BZ [or a similar agent] could cause the pilot to lose consciousness, plunging the plane nose first into the water -- leaving virtually no debris.
1) It would still be detectible by the P3 Orion's electronic detection systems; and,
2) The Black Box would still transmit signals via its ULB [Underwater Locator Beacon] - which can transmit from a depth of 14,000 feet, at temperatures as low as -55
° C.

Granted, we have no real facts to work from at this point, but, the Internet is fertile ground for educated folks with considerable expertise to weigh in with their opinion and theories -- based on what meager reporting is available.  But, we'll examine some of his ridicule of theories surrounding similar events to demonstrate that sometimes, these theorists have traction.

Bergen, a pseudo-Brit, who is CNN's National Security Analyst -- apparently based on his education at Oxford U, his British accent, and his membership in a variety of Liberal think tanks, is notable for his announcement following bin Laden's death:
"Killing bin Laden is the end of the War on Terror.  We can just sort of announce that right now."
[Quite articulate, isn't he? but not much hands on experience. And, we're glad he's dismissed the War on Terror; we can all rest more easily now.]

Bergen's Opinion piece attempts to debunk conspiracy theories on downed passenger planes with typical rolled eyes and ridicule, leaning to innuendo rather than fact to support his jibes.  That, theoretically, suffices to denigrate those who would opine their theories differing from official accounts - or his.

He cites these examples, and dismisses eye-witness or expert accounts as lacking credibility.

TWA 800:  Inexplicably crashed/exploded on take-off [17 July 1996]

The official government report advised that a short circuit had ignited a fuel tank, causing the explosion which destroyed the plane.

1) Accuracy in Media, citing aviation experts,  reported that it was virtually impossible for a fuel tank to explode in the manner described by the government report unless the jet fuel consisted of hydrogen and propane gas -- which was not the case.

2) A number of eye-witnesses [more than the one he derisively mentions] talked about a trail of fire going UP to the plane; they speculated it was a missile.
-- Bergen claims the witness[es] were unreliable.

Submarine launching SAM
3) Pierre Salinger, opined that it WAS a missile, fired from a US
 submarine in Long Island Sound.

    a) Salinger was Press Secretary to JFK and LBJ, a former WW2 Naval Officer, a news   correspondent, Vice President of Continental Airlines, and an investigator of the bombing    of PanAm 10, so, he did have quite a bit of credibility.  Nonetheless, Salinger was attacked from all quarters in a successful attempt to discredit him -- and his theory.


   b) Immediately after Salinger's allegations, President Clinton announced that Navy personnel 
        were not protected by the Whistleblower Protection Act, blocking any insider revelations/leaks.
        [nonetheless, more than one sailor came forward privately to talk to journalists].
    c) Bergen cites former vice chairman of the National Transportation Safety Board statement:
        "He was an idiot... He didn't know what he was talking about". 

4) Now, having been an analyst of Military and terrorist matters at the Pentagon and the State Department, we had occasion to review such issues in incidents throughout the world. 
    a)  Commercial airlines frequently advised they were being electronically painted by ground
          anti-aircraft[AA] positions; on further investigation, we learned that such "Notional Targeting"
          was routine --by both friends and foes, and the targeting was merely to keep their skills intact.
         (1) So, it was up to the analysts in the Intelligence Community to prevent over-reaction by
               US forces.
         (2)  We engaged in such a crisis when Libyan AA shooters targeted a US surveillance aircraft
                in the Mediterranean, and we engaged in a Community call to call off a Navy response.
         (3)  Unfortunately, in a later incident, the Navy used that same Notional Targeting as the excuse
                for an unprovoked attack on Libya.
    b)  Our assessment on the downing of TWA 800 was that, in fact, it was a missile which was
          fired from the US submarine submerged in the Long Island Sound.
          (1)  We concluded that an eager targeteer was conducting a routine Notional Targeting exercise,
                 but failed to notice the launch systems were active, thus launching a Surface to Air Missile
                 [SAM] and blowing up a commercial airliner.
          (2)   Of course, this would be an action for which the Navy was unwilling to accept
                  responsibility, or even acknowledge the possibility that it could happen.  Thus, the
                  ad hominem attacks on Salinger -- whose experience included covering up such SNAFUs
                  while he was White House Press Secretary.
                  [Salinger's credibility was significantly greater than Mr Bergen]

EgyptAir Flight 990:  Inexplicably crashed into the ocean shortly after take-off [31 October 1999]

We're not sure why Bergen included this in the "conspiracy theory" realm.
It was pretty cut and dried as the NTSB released the cockpit recordings of the Egyptian pilot reciting Islamic prayers as he plunged the plane into the Atlantic.  There was, however, no official follow-up news to determine his motive.  The Egyptian government advised its opinion that the crash was caused by a mechanical failure.

PanAm Flight 103:  Blew up in flight over Lockerbie, Scotland [21 December 1988].
PanAm 103 wreckage

The official [FBI] published report placed the origin of the bomb on Flight 103 as a rigged radio concealed in the baggage compartment.

   a) PanAm hired, Juval Aviv, a former Mossad counter-terrorist operative, is President of Interfor, a corporate investigations firm in New York City to investigate; he is frequently used as a source by the New York Times, Fox News, and ABC News -- but, oddly,
not by CNN [Bergen's employer].
       (1) Aviv claimed it was a CIA operation gone awry, in which they engaged the services of a
             Syrian heroin smuggler to coordinate with his Hezbollah contacts to arrange the release of
             "Western hostages"; in the CIA would facilitate the Syrian's drug operation.
       (2)  Aviv claimed Turkish extremists, working in Frankfurt Airport as baggage handlers,
              swapped out a suitcase packed with heroin and replaced it with a bomb.
       (3)  Bergen referred to Aviv's report as a "Fairy Tale" but had no basis for that categorization.
   b) Notable US government intelligence officials on board:
              (1) Matt Gannon, CIA Deputy Station Chief in Beirut
              (2) Army Major Chuck McKee, Military Attache in Beirut
              (3)  Ronald Lariviere, US Embassy Security Officer in Beirut
              (4)  Daniel O'Connor, US Embassy Security Officer in Nicosia
              (5)   Unidentified US government officer.
    c) FAA had issued a safety bulletin 15 days before the bombing warning that a Pan Am
              flight from Frankfurt to New York would be blown up by an Abu Nidal operative
              -- reportedly a Finnish woman married to an Arab living with an Arab in Helsinki.
    d) The Guardians of the Islamic Revolution claimed credit for the bombing as retaliation for
              the US Navy shoot-down of Iran Air Flight 65 in the Persian Gulf six months earlier.

Mr Bergen cites several other commercial crashes which received considerable attention by "conspiracy theorists" all of which he dismisses apparently based on his expertise in speaking with a British accent.  However, researching these other crashes, we've determined that the "conspiracy theories" held up much better under scrutiny than the official US Government reports. 

We suggest Mr Bergen return to Oxford where he can practice his British accent.